Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.344276 0.412957 0.496997 0.609181 0.757811 0.952162 1.232873
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.261401 0.347499 0.469376 0.662550 0.977980 1.508565 2.565164
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.205115 0.292697 0.430273 0.679087 1.163227 2.194508 5.115874
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.165594 0.248391 0.388618 0.669128 1.299475 2.963699 9.850193
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143667 0.225179 0.372908 0.697872 1.541855 4.371163 23.990237
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.122568 0.197916 0.341011 0.677963 1.654696 5.653575 53.658984
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109505 0.182063 0.326427 0.691007 1.881174 8.065427 189.602964
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.097449 0.165635 0.306227 0.681428 2.032869 10.769197 937.158141
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.089640 0.155983 0.298128 0.701346 2.329145 16.292240 130114.471081
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.083832 0.149277 0.294954 0.734800 2.742747 27.194012 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.078272 0.142131 0.289018 0.757640 3.156334 45.973345 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.073716 0.136396 0.285238 0.786869 3.681976 87.382750 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.069254 0.130355 0.279761 0.810038 4.258687 186.090867 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064997 0.124199 0.272784 0.825546 4.855841 457.204290 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060682 0.117341 0.262524 0.823645 5.332609 1228.624513 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.056295 0.109785 0.248897 0.801686 5.582076 3316.449762 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053876 0.106609 0.247329 0.834547 6.649564 164276.186026 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.050221 0.100019 0.234434 0.807881 6.861653 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047924 0.096513 0.230303 0.823792 7.869975 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045232 0.091737 0.221428 0.811466 8.395897 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.043532 0.089285 0.219485 0.836540 9.910077 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.042257 0.087770 0.220302 0.878894 12.316997 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.040819 0.085678 0.218845 0.907910 14.842018 NaN NaN